German Finance Minister: The influence of MERCOSUR agreement on German economy will be very positive, and trade relations will be more prosperous; The market reacted calmly to France; We hope to continue to establish constructive relations with Britain.Ziguang shares: Ziguang special account has reduced its holdings of 28.5 million shares, and Ziguang shares (000938.SZ) issued an announcement. As of December 9, 2024, Ziguang Group Co., Ltd.' s special account for property disposal of bankrupt enterprises (hereinafter referred to as "Ziguang special account") has reduced its holdings of 28.5 million shares through centralized bidding, accounting for 0.9965% of the company's total share capital, and the reduction price range is 2474 yuan/share. The reduction plan has been implemented.Polls show that the cabinet support rate of Japanese Prime Minister Shi Pomao dropped to 38%. According to reports, the results of a nationwide poll conducted by the agency from 6 to 8 this month showed that the cabinet support rate of Prime Minister Shi Pomao was 38%, which was 3 percentage points lower than the previous poll of the agency. The disapproval rate was 38%, which was 1 percentage point higher than the previous poll.
Baltic dry bulk freight index rose 0.09% to 1168 points.Reuters survey: 27 of 31 economists believe that the Swiss National Bank will cut interest rates by 25 basis points to 0.75% in December; Four people think that they will cut interest rates by 50 basis points; Fifteen of the 28 economists believe that the Swiss National Bank will cut the policy interest rate to 0.25% or lower by the end of 2025; 13 people think it will drop to 0.50% or higher.The Great Wall Fund with "Moderately Loose" Monetary Policy: It is expected to open up space for the downward trend of bond interest rates. the Political Bureau of the Communist Party of China (CPC) Central Committee held a meeting on December 9. The meeting pointed out that a moderately loose monetary policy should be implemented next year. The Great Wall Fund said that based on the "moderate easing" of monetary policy next year, the downside of bond interest rates is expected to be further opened, optimistic about the bond market in the coming year; At the same time, with the coming of the New Year's market, the bond interest rate may further decline in the context of loose liquidity and the entry of insurance funds.
Media: El Salvador will change its pioneering bitcoin practice in exchange for IMF transactions. According to media reports, two people familiar with the matter revealed that El Salvador is expected to reach an agreement with the International Monetary Fund (IMF) on a loan plan of 1.3 billion US dollars in the next two to three weeks. In exchange, El Salvador will change its pioneering practice of using bitcoin as legal tender and reduce the government deficit. A delegation of the International Monetary Fund has arrived in San Salvador to finalize the details of the agreement with the government. People familiar with the matter said that the transaction is expected to release another $1 billion in loans from the World Bank and the Inter-American Development Bank in the next few years. This loan plan must be approved by the board of directors of the International Monetary Fund, which will enable this Central American country to return to the international financial circle after several years of relative isolation. The country passed a law in June 2021, making it the first country in the world to adopt Bitcoin as legal tender. However, the International Monetary Fund opposes El Salvador's adoption of digital currency on the grounds that financial stability and integrity are at risk, and urges the government to stop accepting cryptocurrency as legal tender.Baltic dry bulk freight index rose 0.09% to 1168 points.CITIC Jiantou interprets the Politburo meeting in December: it opens up the market's expectation of monetary easing space in 2025. CITIC Jiantou Research Report pointed out that there are six obvious expressions of the positive signal of the Politburo meeting in December: 1. "Implementing a more active and promising macro policy"; 2. "Stabilize the property market and stock market"; 3. "Strengthening unconventional counter-cyclical adjustment"; 4. "We should vigorously boost consumption"; 5. "More active fiscal policy"; 6. "moderately loose monetary policy". The most concerned is the last expression, "moderately loose monetary policy". For most of the time, the Politburo used the word "steady" to describe the currency. This time, it adopted the rare "moderate easing", which opened the market's expectation for the monetary easing space in 2025. The "liquidity trap" recently discussed in the market does not apply to China, and monetary easing can solve a considerable part of the problem of weak domestic demand. From the perspective of trend, observing the future domestic demand trend of China, what needs to be tracked most is the currency. From the short-term emotional point of view, "stabilizing the property market and stock market" will become a short-term market trading point.
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide
12-13
Strategy guide
Strategy guide 12-13
Strategy guide 12-13